Tag financial advice

Investing Advice & Weather Forecasting

Paul - The Wry Eye Guy Leave a comment
Pick the Best Lounger!

I’m going to tell a story today, no numbers & stuff. Just light reading for a Friday afternoon. TGIF!

I was enjoying a nice lunch on an oceanside patio earlier this week. It was a beautiful sunny day in Nova Scotia. Everyone was basking in a summer heat that was perfectly tempered by the breezes coming across the bay. An Ontario couple at the neighbouring table were asking our server about the harsh winters in Nova Scotia. At the next table, a person in a group of Quebec visitors chimed in that they were interested in hearing about that too. To cut a long story short, the people from Ontario wanted to confirm that winter here was way harsher than winter in their neck of the woods. Our young server, a born & bred Nova Scotian, agreed that winter on the coast was absolutely awful. The Quebec group included a couple that were interested in moving to Nova Scotia, so they were more than a little disappointed to hear this news. They really wanted to move to a place with a milder winter than theirs. Another couple in the Quebec group lived in a apartment building in downtown Montreal. They were connected to the underground city complex there & could work & live a very full life in Montreal without ever having to go outside during the winter months. Though they did head outside to the ski slopes periodically. They didn’t care what Maritime winters were like, they thought Montreal’s winters were great!

What was happening here was quite incredible. Ontarians who had never been to the Maritimes in winter set the stage by claiming winters here were horrendous. Maybe the worst in Canada. Their opinion was confirmed by our server. A local who grew up with Maritime winters. But he had never been to Ontario in winter & couldn’t really make that comparison with any authority. We all have our blind spots, eh! On top of that, the disappointment of the Quebec couple simply reinforced the negative echoes that were bouncing around in this newly formed echo chamber. And the other Quebec couple couldn’t have cared less, they were totally happy with how they enjoyed their winters in Montreal.

What was going on here?

One uninformed opinion was reinforced by another uninformed comparison, & this developing feeling was augmented by an additional negative emotional reaction. While yet another emotional reaction, albeit from a totally different perspective, served to further confirm the groupthink conclusion. That Nova Scotian winters were just awful. Regardless of how true this might (or might not) be, this is how echo chambers work.

Fortunately, for all the people in this story, I was there to save the day. As it happens, I have lived through several winters in all three locations! It’s not often in life that we are presented with opportunities to strut our stuff from a position of 100% conviction. In I waded, pointing out how awesome that coastal winters are & how they compare very favourably to the truly horrible winters in Ontario & Quebec. I might even have gone overboard, just a little, extolling the almost tropical nature of winters in the Maritimes! By the time I was done, they were all moving to Nova Scotia.

Okay, I’m kidding, they were not all doing that. But the couple who wanted to move were a little relieved. And the rest were actually mildly surprised that coastal winters weren’t as bad as they’d imagined. But despite my obviously superior level of knowledge & experience (😜) relating to this specific question, this was still just my opinion on the matter. Yes, it does snow, but it usually melts pretty quickly. And then it’ll probably rain & do some other weird stuff. And we really don’t have that many hurricanes & sou’westers, eh! Or is it nor’easters? I don’t know. But I do prefer the frequent melts we get here, compared to Ontario & Quebec. And that makes east coast winters better … but only in my opinion. Those who prefer to ski in winter, for example, might not agree. In my mind, I might have been right, but my version of right might not suit everyone. So even with my supposedly strong level of knowledge, backed by experience, my right answer will not necessarily be right for everyone. In fact, it might not even be right for me going forward. What if I wanted to start skiing in winter!?! Okay, that’s unlikely, but never say never.
Of course, I was careful to warn my new found friends that past performance is no guarantee that things will be the same in future. Sorry, couldn’t help that one!

So what’s the point of the story? Echo chambers are easily created. And we enjoy spending time in them. That’s not surprising, since we like to hang out with people who share our likes & dislikes. Be it for weather or for investing. But it can be enlightening to pull back & consider alternative perspectives. I think it’s worth trying to keep an open mind. And to spend time trying to find our own blind spots. Sometimes, facts & evidence are elusive. We need to push back against our personal biases to ensure we are seeing things clearly. If only to see if we might enjoy a winter skiing holiday in Quebec. Now to be honest, I might not hit the slopes. But I do need to practice my French lessons. And I really enjoy the food in Quebec. Regardless of the season!

If you’re a regular reader here, watch out for my biases!

PS … I had the fish and chips. Again! LOL

If you want to learn more about saving & investing, please check out Double Double Your Money, available at your local Amazon store.

Important – this is not investing, tax or legal advice, it is for entertainment & conversation-provoking purposes only. Data may not be accurate. Check the current & historical data carefully at any company’s or provider’s website, particularly where a specific product, stock or fund is mentioned. Opinions are my own & I regularly get things wrong, so do your own due diligence & seek professional advice before investing your money.

DIY Investing or Work With a Financial Advisor?

Paul - The Wry Eye Guy Leave a comment
Good old-fashioned financial advice.
But at what price?

DIY investing can drive you a little crazy. Do you like the crazy? Are you enjoying the work that comes with portfolio management? Some of us do! But it gets a little more challenging when we need to withdraw money during retirement. And will a surviving spouse be able to carry on with the crazy portfolio in the event the “money manager” departs first? Are you a good DIY investor? Or would you do better with an advisor?

There is an easy way to figure out if you should consider paying a fee to have a professional manage your portfolio & the retirement cashflow stream for you.
And it’s this …

Compare your DIY portfolio performance against an equivalent ETF. We all need a “benchmark” to check our portfolio against. If you’re 100% in globally diversified stocks, for example, compare your portfolio performance to that of one of the XEQT, ZEQT, VEQT all-equity ETFs. If you’re in a 60/40 stock & fixed income mix, compare your DIY portfolio performance against XBAL, ZBAL, or VBAL. Are you buying a mix of Canadian & US large-cap stocks? Then compare that to an appropriately allocated portfolio of VFV & XIU ETFs. A portfolio filled with way too many stocks & ETFs might also be usefully compared against one of the all-in-ones. If your portfolio performance lags its benchmark by 1% or more, you might want to consider handing it over to a financial manager.

As an aside, since some of these all-in-one funds are so new, you may need to break them down into their constituent ETFs to usefully use them for benchmarking over longer time periods. The longer the history, the more useful the insights.

I’m using 1% here because many financial advisors charge an annual 1% of portfolio value as a fee for managing a portfolio. Is that fee worth it? Get the advisor’s performance history & compare that to an equivalent benchmark ETF too. Their recommended portfolio should only lag the return performance of those ETFs by the 1% fee. If they meet that requirement and if your self-managed portfolio was lagging by more than 1%, you could be getting better results by paying the advisor the 1% fee. As a bonus, you’ll have less work & an advisor who will tell you that everything will be okay when the markets are imploding. Hand-holding is included in their fee! For retirees, the advisor may also plan the income strategy & tax-efficiently manage the cashflow for you, across all accounts. You might even get some estate planning advice along the way. If you have a good advisor, they can deliver a lot of value. Even if they underperform the market average by the amount of the fee they charge.

Can you find an advisor that will consistently beat, after fees, the market or benchmark returns? I don’t know, but be sure to review their data supporting this opinion very carefully. And not necessarily against the benchmark provided by the advisor.

Unfortunately, it can be pretty challenging to tell if an advisor is any good. And those investors who are most challenged by DIY investing will also be challenged by the process of choosing a good advisor. We all like to believe we have the best doctor taking care of our health. In reality, most of them will be closer to average than exceptional. Fortunately, there are minimum standards & qualifications that we hope will ensure an adequate level of service from these professionals. The same is only variably true for financial advisors. Because the qualifications for calling yourself a financial advisor in Canada are variable. Some advisors are closer to being a product salesperson. And while some feel or profess a fiduciary responsibility, it is not a legal duty or obligation for many. They cannot just take your money & head off to a beach somewhere, but they may be putting their own, or their company’s, interests just slightly ahead of yours when it comes to investment choices. Even if only subconsciously.

Of course, a good salesperson will make you feel better about the relationship you are getting into. And that’s not a bad thing. But you also need an advisor who can at least deliver average market returns for a broadly diversified portfolio. Minus the fees. And you do need to know exactly how much you’re paying for whatever services & products are being recommended! There may be advisory fees and product fees, check carefully.

If you are a balanced 60/40 style investor, what would you think of paying an advisor to put all your money into ZBAL? Or maybe 60% into XEQT, with the other 40% into a couple of bond & HISA-type ETFs? We sometimes resent paying for simplicity. Advisors know this & are less likely to present you with such a simple portfolio solution. After all, if things are that simple, why would we need an advisor!
Yet, in DIY mode, we sometimes struggle to follow the simple path ourselves. Instead, we prefer to work hard creating a portfolio that underperforms!

Of course, that simple solution might not be the ideal path for everyone. There may well be good reasons for some investors to pursue a lower volatility strategy, a higher income strategy, or whatever. But it is still useful to compare the total return on our own portfolios against those of low-cost, market index ETFs.

Robo-advisors are trying to bridge the gap between the advisory space & DIY, typically for about a 0.5% fee premium, in addition to ETF fees. I love the idea but it feels like you’re paying the added fee for the robo to pick the same ETFs that are in the all-in-one ETFs. Like some human services, they can fancy it up with one or two more esoteric picks. So you feel like you’re getting something extra for your money. But you generally won’t get the more valuable hand-holding that comes with the more expensive advisory services. Maybe AI will help with this down the road. But AI has been around for a lot longer than current market noise suggests & it hasn’t happened yet. Some robo-services do include human phone support. That might develop & grow into something more valuable going forward.

Isn’t there scope for fee reduction on the human advisory side too? Or for a service with a far more rapidly declining tiered fee-structure for larger portfolios? Are there any low-cost advisors out there? Shouldn’t there be more advisors competing with the 0.5% fees of the robo-advisors. Simpler portfolio advice & management should come with lower fees, no? I’m okay with portfolios constructed with low cost index funds. For some investors, the greater value may be more in managing asset location (what ETF goes in which account) & retirement cashflow. Some advisors include financial planning, a valuable service too. But can it be done for a 0.5% fee? Or less?

I realise that someone else’s job always looks easier than it really is from the outside. But I think financial advisory (& real estate) fees are very expensive in Canada. Particularly for the cookie-cutter portfolios offered by some companies. I’m totally okay with the right cookie-cutter portfolio, I just don’t want to pay through the nose for it. High fees are an ignorance premium being levied on a population that didn’t get this kind of knowledge coming through our educational system. And our schools still don’t prepare kids for the digital environment that now makes it far easier for the DIY investor to learn things the hard way. Fees will likely drop over time, as education & AI combine to work at improving the competitive landscape. Though in traditional Canadian fashion, it’ll probably drag out for a long time yet. And some of us older folk might not live long enough to benefit! 🤪

Regardless of the path we choose, it’s worth occasionally benchmarking our portfolio performance against a low-cost, well-diversified, ETF portfolio. One that approximately matches our portfolio’s asset allocation. Benchmarking can provide insight on how decent a job we’re doing with our investing strategy. And if we’re not doing such a good job ourselves, it may be worth talking to a financial advisor. But if you still find the idea of paying an advisor distasteful, then you’d better figure out how to learn to do it better on your own. Or maybe just use the benchmark ETFs instead!

If you want to learn more about saving & investing from the ground up, I’d like to suggest that you check out Double Double Your Money, available at your local Amazon store.

Important – this is not investing, tax or legal advice, it is for entertainment & conversation-provoking purposes only. Data may not be accurate. Check the current & historical data carefully at any company’s or provider’s website, particularly where a specific product, stock or fund is mentioned. Opinions are my own & I regularly get things wrong, so do your own due diligence & seek professional advice before investing your money.